Dr. Victor Davis Hanson, whose work may be found on our sister site Townhall, is a national treasure. Not only is he one of the smartest people in the United States, but he’s probably one of the smartest people on the planet. I’ve been reading his work for a long time now, and I cannot underestimate how much I respect Dr. Hanson. He’s a deep thinker, an educator, and a writer with few, if any, peers.
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Now he’s weighing in on the 2024 presidential election, and he is predicting a Trump victory.
Hoover Institution senior fellow Victor Davis Hanson said Friday on his podcast that he believes former President Donald Trump will defeat Vice President Kamala Harris in November.
Polls between Trump and Harris have become a tug-of-war, with political pundits warning about the former president’s gains among key Democratic voting blocs. On “The Victor Davis Hanson Show,” Hanson expressed that the public’s overall judgment of Harris’ character will cause voters to stop supporting her.
“I think the time has run out now. Maybe she could have done this 90 days and had all these, and then she would have had some experience, but she’s tried every type of gymnastics now,” Hanson said. “It takes a while, though. I mean, people are very busy, they’re at work or they have their other interests, so they can’t watch TV, they can’t read the news, but they get enough clips over 90 days. Here and there, they’re driving to work [and] they hear a little bit.”
I’m going to do something I rarely do, and that is to disagree with Dr. Hanson. He mentions “….Harris’ character,” while I would maintain that part of Kamala “Queen of Word Salads” Harris’ problem is that she suffers from an utter lack of character. She is a person of pure expediency; she has no convictions, no principles, no character; she will say or do whatever she thinks the people in front of her at any given moment want to hear.
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Even so, Dr. Hanson does, as we would expect, nail Harris’ primary weakness.
“They turn on the TV and they channel surf — they see a little bit. They go online, and a little news flash comes across their screen and it adds up. I think it’s now got to that summation, that people understand that there’s no ‘there’ there, she’s just an empty pants suit — she really is. I think she’s gonna lose, I really do,” Hanson added. “I don’t want to predict, I’m not a good predictor, but it could be what they call a close landslide where she loses by 40 or 50,000 votes but in all seven swing states.”
That seems a plausible scenario to me, in fact, except for the specific numbers, that’s pretty much what I’ve been predicting for the last month or so.
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The Trump/Vance ticket will, of course, have to win by a decisive margin. And if the GOP manages to put Trump back in the Oval Office while losing the House, Senate, or both, then that seriously hamstrings the Trump agenda for his non-consecutive second term.
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Dr. Hanson talks about several issues around the election, including the national polls (that don’t really matter), and how so many polls seem to be outliers. It’s worth watching the entire podcast to get the whole picture.
See the entire video here: