We’re coming near to the finish line for the 2024 elections, with Election Day on Nov. 5, and of course early voting taking place in many states already.
As I wrote recently, GOP Senate nominee Kari Lake and Rep. Ruben Gallego (D) were polling neck-and-neck, with the added assurance of former President Donald Trump keeping a lead against Vice President Kamala Harris in polling in the Copper state.
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This week brings more positive news for the Lake camp, as a pair of polls show the former Phoenix news anchor leading her far-left liberal opponent. On Tuesday, Data Orbital released a poll showing the Republican at 45.2 percent and the Democrat at 44.5 percent. (The poll was taken of 550 likely voters, between Oct. 26-28, with a margin of error of +/- 4.26.)
The Lake campaign shared a statement after the poll came out, which read:
“The momentum is with President Trump and Kari Lake, and with record Republican early voting numbers, we are confident that Arizonans will deliver both Trump and Lake a victory one week from today on November 5th.”
Then Thursday, AtlasIntel released a swath of Senate polls for swing-states, including for the Arizona contest. Of note: Lake is the only GOP candidate leading his or her Dem opponent in the pollster’s data:
By how much? Like in the first poll, from these numbers, it appears she’s ahead of Gallego by just about 1 point (0.7). And with the potential of grabbing on to Trump’s coattails, that might just be enough to put Lake over the top on Election Day. We’ll see.
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As my colleague Nick Arama wrote earlier, AtlasIntel also reported new numbers for the presidential race among battleground states; Trump continues to lead Harris by 3 points in Arizona. The pollster wrote:
Trump’s advantage over his opponent is most significant in states such as AZ, NV and NC.
Read more: Shock Poll in PA and More Intriguing News on Toss-Up States
Lake celebrated the upswing in polling in a Thursday X post for supporters:
Stay tuned, as they say!