The National Hurricane Center continues to monitor the Southern Gulf of Mexico for tropical storm development, but the only impact to San Antonio will be rain (heavy at times). Here’s what you need to know:
KEY POINTS
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Weak tropical storm could form and hit Eastern Mexico
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Deep tropical moisture and upper energy will cause rain into San Antonio and South Central Texas
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Intermittent tropical downpours are forecast to develop on Wednesday and Thursday, along with cooler temperatures
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The highest rainfall potential is south of San Antonio, but 2″-4″ is possible around San Antonio
HOW MUCH RAIN?
Accumulations will vary significantly. Generally speaking, lesser amounts north of San Antonio and higher amounts south.
Highest rainfall totals will be near the Texas Coast and south of Hwy 90 with up to 7″of rain possible Wednesday into Thursday. Near San Antonio, the number is closer to 2″ to 4″ with lesser amounts into the Hill Country, where it’s needed the most.
It won’t be raining all day Wednesday and Thursday. Rather, expect intermittent showers with embedded downpours. Still, this could lead to street flooding so please be cautious and check the radar before driving Wednesday and Thursday.
THE LATEST
As of Tuesday Morning, “Potential Tropical Cyclone One” (PTC 1) was located over the Bay of Campeche and is expected to strengthen into a weak tropical storm named Alberto with winds of 45 mph by Wednesday. It is anticipated to stay relatively weak and make landfall in northeastern Mexico by Thursday morning with winds up to 45 mph.
A strong onshore wind with gusts up to 55 mph could cause a storm surge (water level above normal tide) of 1 to 3 feet along the Texas Coast.
IMPORTANT: Despite the potential for this tropical disturbance to get a formal title and name, the impact will remain the same for Texas and our area, and that’s rain.
TROPICAL STORM NAMES FOR 2024
While details will still need to be fine-tuned in regards to how this system will evolve, we know that it’s forecast to be a busy season across the Atlantic Basin. Here is the list of names that will be used for tropical storms and hurricanes this season.
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